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Predictive value of estimated pulse wave velocity with all-cause and cause-specific mortality in the hypertensive population: the National Health and Nutrition Examination Surveys 1999-2014

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机构: [1]Medical Faculty, University of Leipzig, Leipzig, Germany [2]Department of Cardiology, Huadu District People's Hospital, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou [3]Department of Endocrinology, Beijing Tongren Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China [4]University Medical Center of Göttingen, Georg-August University, Göttingen, Germany
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关键词: all-cause mortality cardiovascular diseases estimated pulse wave velocity mortality National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey AUC area under the curve CfPWV carotid–femoral pulse wave velocity CIs confidence intervals ePWV FRS Framingham Risk Score ICD-10 International Classification of Diseases Tenth Revision MBP mean blood pressure MEC mobile examination center NHANES National Health and Nutrition Examination Surveys ROC receiver-operating characteristic SCORE Systematic Coronary Risk Evaluation SII Systemic Immune-Inflammation Index SIRI Systemic Inflammatory Response Index US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention VIF variance inflation factors

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Estimated pulse wave velocity (ePWV) has been proposed as a potential approach to assess carotid-femoral pulse wave velocity (cfPWV). However, the potential ability of ePWV to predict all-cause and cause-specific mortality in the population group with hypertension remains unresolved.We conducted a prospective cohort study using the data of 14 044 adults (age ≥18 years) from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) from 1999 to 2014, and followed this cohort until the end of December 2019. ePWV was calculated by using a regression equation for age and mean blood pressure (MBP), derived by the Arterial Stiffness Collaborative Group.The weighted mean age of the 14 044 adults included was 54.79 years; 49.42% of all participants were men. During the median follow-up period of 11 years, 3795 deaths were recorded. In the fully adjusted cox regression model, each 1 m/s increase in ePWV was associated with an increased risk of 56% [hazard ratio 1.61; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.49-1.64] risk for all-cause mortality. Every 1 m/s increase in ePWV resulted in an increased risk of mortality from cardiovascular disease, cerebrovascular disease, respiratory disease, Alzheimer's disease, accidents, cancer, influenza and pneumonia by 60, 70, 47, 118, 73, 41 and 103%, respectively. ePWV has a robust predictive value for 5- and 10-year all-cause mortality in the hypertensive population with AUCs of 0.749 and 0.741, respectively.Elevated ePWV is positively correlated with all-cause mortality and most cause-specific mortalities, independent of traditional risk factors. Moreover, ePWV demonstrates high accuracy in predicting 5-year and 10-year all-cause mortality, outperforming Framingham Risk Score.Copyright © 2023 Wolters Kluwer Health, Inc. All rights reserved.

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大类 | 2 区 医学
小类 | 2 区 外周血管病
最新[2023]版:
大类 | 2 区 医学
小类 | 3 区 外周血管病
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出版当年[2021]版:
Q2 PERIPHERAL VASCULAR DISEASE
最新[2023]版:
Q1 PERIPHERAL VASCULAR DISEASE

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第一作者机构: [1]Medical Faculty, University of Leipzig, Leipzig, Germany
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通讯机构: [4]University Medical Center of Göttingen, Georg-August University, Göttingen, Germany [*1]Robert-Koch-Str. 40, 37075 Göttingen, Germany.
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