高级检索
当前位置: 首页 > 详情页

Trends in prevalence of blindness and distance and near vision impairment over 30 years: an analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study

文献详情

资源类型:
WOS体系:

收录情况: ◇ SCIE ◇ SSCI

机构: [1]Department of Urban Planning and Design University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China [2]Beijing Tongren Eye Center Beijing Tongren Hospital, Beijing, China [3]Beijing Institute of Ophthalmology Beijing Tongren Hospital, Beijing, China
出处:
ISSN:

摘要:
Background To contribute to the WHO initiative, VISION 2020: The Right to Sight, an assessment of global vision impairment in 2020 and temporal change is needed. We aimed to extensively update estimates of global vision loss burden, presenting estimates for 2020, temporal change over three decades between 1990-2020, and forecasts for 2050. Methods We did a systematic review and meta-analysis of population-based surveys of eye disease from January, 1980, to October, 2018. Only studies with samples representative of the population and with dearly defined visual acuity testing protocols were included. We fitted hierarchical models to estimate 2020 prevalence (with 95% uncertainty intervals [UN]) of mild vision impairment (presenting visual acuity >= 6/18 and <6/12), moderate and severe vision impairment (<6/18 to 3/60), and blindness (<3/60 or less than 10 degrees visual field around central fixation); and vision impairment from uncorrected presbyopia (presenting near vision<N6 or <N8 at 40 cm where best-corrected distance visual acuity is >= 6/12). We forecast estimates of vision loss up to 2050. Findings In 2020, an estimated 43.3 million (95% UI 37.6-48.4) people were blind, of whom 23.9 million (55%; 20.8-26.8) were estimated to be female. We estimated 295 million (267-325) people to have moderate and severe vision impairment, of whom 163 million (55%; 147-179) were female; 258 million (233-285) to have mild vision impairment, of whom 142 million (55%; 128-157) were female; and 510 million (371-667) to have visual impairment from uncorrected presbyopia, of whom 280 million (55%; 205-365) were female. Globally, between 1990 and 2020, among adults aged 50 years or older, age-standardised prevalence of blindness decreased by 28.5% (-29.4 to -27.7) and prevalence of mild vision impairment decreased slightly (-0.3%, -0.8 to -0.2), whereas prevalence of moderate and severe vision impainnent increased slightly (2.5%, 1.9 to 3.2; insufficient data were available to calculate this statistic for vision impairment from uncorrected presbyopia). In this period, the number of people who were blind increased by 50.6% (47.8 to 53.4) and the number with moderate and severe vision impairment increased by 91.7% (87.6 to 95.8). By 2050, we predict 61.0 million (52.9 to 69.3) people will be blind, 474 million (428 to 518) will have moderate and severe vision impairment, 360 million (322 to 400) will have mild vision impairment, and 866 million (629 to 1150) will have uncorrected presbyopia. Interpretation Age-adjusted prevalence of blindness has reduced over the past three decades, yet due to population growth, progress is not keeping pace with needs. We face enormous challenges in avoiding vision impairment as the global population grows and ages. Copyright (C) 2020 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd.

基金:

基金编号: HTA 09/104/40 R01EY017011 R01EY015130 XMUMRF/2018-C6/ITCM/0004 EY018400

语种:
高被引:
热点:
被引次数:
WOS:
PubmedID:
中科院(CAS)分区:
出版当年[2020]版:
大类 | 1 区 医学
小类 | 1 区 公共卫生、环境卫生与职业卫生
最新[2023]版:
大类 | 1 区 医学
小类 | 1 区 公共卫生、环境卫生与职业卫生
JCR分区:
出版当年[2019]版:
Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH
最新[2023]版:
Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH

影响因子: 最新[2023版] 最新五年平均 出版当年[2019版] 出版当年五年平均 出版前一年[2018版] 出版后一年[2020版]

第一作者:
第一作者机构: [1]Department of Urban Planning and Design University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China
通讯作者:
通讯机构: [*1]Vision and Eye Research Institute, Anglia Ruskin University, Cambridge CB1 1PT, UK
推荐引用方式(GB/T 7714):
APA:
MLA:

资源点击量:21169 今日访问量:0 总访问量:1219 更新日期:2025-01-01 建议使用谷歌、火狐浏览器 常见问题

版权所有©2020 首都医科大学附属北京同仁医院 技术支持:重庆聚合科技有限公司 地址:北京市东城区东交民巷1号(100730)