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Retinal vascular fingerprints predict incident stroke: findings from the UK Biobank cohort study

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机构: [1]Centre for Eye Research Australia, The Royal Victorian Eye and Ear Hospital, East Melbourne, Victoria, Australia [2]Department of Surgery (Ophthalmology), The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia [3]Harvard Medical School Department of Ophthalmology, Massachusetts Eye and Ear Department of Ophthalmology, Boston, Massachusetts, USA [4]Beijing Tongren Eye Center, Beijing Tongren Hospital CMU, Beijing, China [5]School of Optometry, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hong Kong, Hong Kong [6]Central Clinical School, Faculty of Medicine, Nursing and Health Sciences, Monash University, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia [7]Research Centre for SHARP Vision, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hong Kong, Hong Kong [8]Centre for Eye and Vision Research (CEVR), 17W Hong Kong Science Park, Hong Kong SAR, People’s Republic of China
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To investigate the associations between a comprehensive set of retinal vascular parameters and incident stroke to unveil new associations and explore its predictive power for stroke risk.Retinal vascular parameters were extracted from the UK Biobank fundus images using the Retina-based Microvascular Health Assessment System. We used Cox regression analysis, adjusted for traditional risk factors, to examine the associations, with false discovery rate adjustment for multiple comparisons. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were used to assess their predictive values.During a median follow-up of 12.5 years, 749 incident strokes occurred among 45 161 participants. The analysis identified 29 significant parameters associated with stroke risk, with a notable dominance of density parameters (over half). Each SD change in these parameters increased stroke risk by 9.8% to 19.0%. For identified calibre parameters, each SD change was associated with an increased risk (ranging from 10.1% to 14.1%). For identified complexity parameters and arterial inflection count tortuosity, each SD decrease was linked to an increased risk (ranging from 10.4% to 19.5%). The introduction of retinal vascular parameters improved the area under the ROC curve to 0.752, significantly outperforming the model using only traditional risk factors (0.739, p<0.001).Retinal vascular analysis, a non-invasive screening approach for stroke risk assessment, performed better than traditional risk stratification models. The 29 novel retinal indicators identified offer new avenues for stroke pathophysiology research.© Author(s) (or their employer(s)) 2025. No commercial re-use. See rights and permissions. Published by BMJ Group.

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大类 | 2 区 医学
小类 | 2 区 心脏和心血管系统
最新[2025]版:
大类 | 2 区 医学
小类 | 2 区 心脏和心血管系统
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出版当年[2023]版:
Q1 CARDIAC & CARDIOVASCULAR SYSTEMS
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Q1 CARDIAC & CARDIOVASCULAR SYSTEMS

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第一作者机构: [1]Centre for Eye Research Australia, The Royal Victorian Eye and Ear Hospital, East Melbourne, Victoria, Australia [2]Department of Surgery (Ophthalmology), The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia
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通讯机构: [1]Centre for Eye Research Australia, The Royal Victorian Eye and Ear Hospital, East Melbourne, Victoria, Australia [2]Department of Surgery (Ophthalmology), The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia [5]School of Optometry, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hong Kong, Hong Kong [7]Research Centre for SHARP Vision, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hong Kong, Hong Kong [8]Centre for Eye and Vision Research (CEVR), 17W Hong Kong Science Park, Hong Kong SAR, People’s Republic of China
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