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Using Machine Learning to Predict Acute Kidney Injury After Aortic Arch Surgery

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机构: [1]Capital Med Univ, Beijing Tongren Hosp, Dept Anesthesiol, 1 Dongjiaominxiang, Beijing 100730, Peoples R China [2]Chinese Acad Med Sci & Peking Union Med Coll, Fuwai Hosp, Natl Ctr Cardiovasc Dis, Dept Anesthesiol, Beijing, Peoples R China
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关键词: acute kidney injury machine learning cardiopulmonary bypass aortic arch surgery

摘要:
Objectives: Machine learning models were compared with traditional logistic regression with regard to predicting kidney outcomes after aortic arch surgery. Design: Retrospective review. Setting: Single quaternary care center, Fuwai Hospital, Beijing, China. Participants: The study comprised 897 consecutive patients who underwent aortic arch surgery from January 2013 to May 2017. Three machine learning methods were compared with logistic regression with regard to the prediction of acute kidney injury (AKI) after aortic arch surgery. Perioperative characteristics, including patients' baseline medical condition and intraoperative data, were analyzed. The performance of the models was assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve. Measurements and Main Results: The primary endpoint, postoperative AKI, was defined using the Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes criteria. During the first 7 postoperative days, AKI was observed in 652 patients (72.6%), and stage 2 or 3 AKI developed in 283 patients (31.5%). Gradient boosting had the best discriminative ability for the prediction of all stages of AKI in both the binary classification and the multiclass classification (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve 0.8 and 0.71, respectively) compared with logistic regression, support vector machine, and random forest methods. Conclusion: Machine learning methods were found to predict AKI after aortic arch surgery significantly better than traditional logistic regression. (C) 2020 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.

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出版当年[2019]版:
大类 | 4 区 医学
小类 | 4 区 麻醉学 4 区 心脏和心血管系统 4 区 外周血管病 4 区 呼吸系统
最新[2025]版:
大类 | 4 区 医学
小类 | 4 区 麻醉学 4 区 心脏和心血管系统 4 区 外周血管病 4 区 呼吸系统
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出版当年[2018]版:
Q3 CARDIAC & CARDIOVASCULAR SYSTEMS Q3 RESPIRATORY SYSTEM Q3 PERIPHERAL VASCULAR DISEASE Q3 ANESTHESIOLOGY
最新[2024]版:
Q2 ANESTHESIOLOGY Q3 CARDIAC & CARDIOVASCULAR SYSTEMS Q3 PERIPHERAL VASCULAR DISEASE Q3 RESPIRATORY SYSTEM

影响因子: 最新[2024版] 最新五年平均 出版当年[2018版] 出版当年五年平均 出版前一年[2017版] 出版后一年[2019版]

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第一作者机构: [1]Capital Med Univ, Beijing Tongren Hosp, Dept Anesthesiol, 1 Dongjiaominxiang, Beijing 100730, Peoples R China
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通讯机构: [1]Capital Med Univ, Beijing Tongren Hosp, Dept Anesthesiol, 1 Dongjiaominxiang, Beijing 100730, Peoples R China [*1]Department of Anesthesiology, Beijing Tongren Hospital, Capital Medical University, No. 1 Dongjiaominxiang, Dongcheng District, 100730, Beijing, China.
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