机构:[1]Hongqiao International Institute of Medicine, Shanghai Tong Ren Hospital and Clinical Research Institute, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China[2]National Clinical Research Center for Cancer, Key Laboratory of Cancer Prevention and Therapy, Tianjin's Clinical Research Center for Cancer, Tianjin Medical University Cancer Institute and Hospital, Tianjin, People's Republic of China[3]Shanghai Clinical Research Promotion and Development Center, Shanghai Hospital Development Center, Shanghai, China
Background: Lymph node metastasis risk stratification is crucial for the surgical decision-making of thyroid cancer. This study investigated whether the integrated gene profiling (combining expression, SNV, fusion) of Fine-Needle Aspiration (FNA) samples can improve the prediction of lymph node metastasis in patients with papillary thyroid cancer.Methods: In this retrospective cohort study, patients with papillary thyroid cancer who went through thyroidectomy and central lymph node dissection were included. Multi-omics data of FNA samples were assessed by an integrated array. To predict lymph node metastasis, we built models using gene expressions or mutations (SNV and fusion) only and an Integrated Risk Stratification (IRS) model combining genetic and clinical information. Blinded histopathology served as the reference standard. ROC curve and decision curve analysis was applied to evaluate the predictive models.Results: One hundred and thirty two patients with pathologically confirmed papillary thyroid cancer were included between 2016-2017. The IRS model demonstrated greater performance [AUC = 0.87 (0.80-0.94)] than either expression classifier [AUC = 0.67 (0.61-0.74)], mutation classifier [AUC = 0.61 (0.55-0.67)] or TIRADS score [AUC = 0.68 (0.62-0.74)] with statistical significance (p < 0.001), and the IRS model had similar predictive performance in large nodule [> 1 cm, AUC = 0.88 (0.79-0.97)] and small nodule [& LE;1 cm, AUC = 0.84 (0.74-0.93)] subgroups. The genetic risk factor showed independent predictive value (OR = 10.3, 95% CI:1.1-105.3) of lymph node metastasis in addition to the preoperative clinical information, including TIRADS grade, age, and nodule size.Conclusion: The integrated gene profiling of FNA samples and the IRS model developed by the machine-learning method significantly improve the risk stratification of thyroid cancer, thus helping make wise decisions and reducing unnecessary extensive surgeries.
基金:
National Natural Science Foundation of China [81903417]; Scientific Project of Shanghai Municipal Health Commission [2018ZHYL0202]; Science and Technology Commission of Shanghai Municipality [17YF1410500]
第一作者机构:[1]Hongqiao International Institute of Medicine, Shanghai Tong Ren Hospital and Clinical Research Institute, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
共同第一作者:
通讯作者:
通讯机构:[1]Hongqiao International Institute of Medicine, Shanghai Tong Ren Hospital and Clinical Research Institute, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China[2]National Clinical Research Center for Cancer, Key Laboratory of Cancer Prevention and Therapy, Tianjin's Clinical Research Center for Cancer, Tianjin Medical University Cancer Institute and Hospital, Tianjin, People's Republic of China[3]Shanghai Clinical Research Promotion and Development Center, Shanghai Hospital Development Center, Shanghai, China[*1]Hongqiao International Institute of Medicine, Shanghai Tongren Hospital and Faculty of Public Health, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, No. 227 South Chongqing Road, Shanghai 200025, China.[*2]National Clinical Research Center for Cancer, Key Laboratory of Cancer Prevention and Therapy, Tianjin, Tianjin's Clinical Research Center for Cancer, Tianjin Medical University Cancer Institute and Hospital, Tianjin 300060, China