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Risk stratification and predictive modeling of postoperative delirium in chronic subdural hematoma

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机构: [1]Beijing Key Laboratory of Intraocular Tumor Diagnosis and Treatment, Beijing Ophthalmology & Visual Sciences Key Lab, Medical Artificial Intelligence Research and Verification Key Laboratory of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, Beijing Tongren Eye Center, Beijing Tongren Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China. [2]Department of Neurosurgery, Peking University Third Hospital, Peking University, Beijing, China. [3]Center for Precision Neurosurgery and Oncology of Peking University Health Science Center, Peking University, Beijing, China. [4]Peking University Health Science Center, Beijing, China. [5]Peking University School of Economics, Beijing, China. [6]State Key Laboratory of Vascular Homeostasis and Remodeling, Peking University, Beijing, China.
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关键词: Postoperative delirium Chronic subdural hematoma Risk factors

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Background- Postoperative delirium is a common complication associated with the elderly, causing increased morbidity and prolonged hospital stay. However, its risk factors in chronic subdural hematoma patients have not been well studied. Methods- A total of 202 consecutive patients with chronic subdural hematoma at Peking University Third Hospital between January 2018 and January 2023 were enrolled. Various clinical indicators were analyzed to identify independent risk factors for postoperative delirium using univariate and multivariate regression analyses. Delirium risk prediction models were developed as a nomogram and a Markov chain. Results- Out of the 202 patients (age, 71 (IQR, 18); female-to-male ratio, 1:2.7) studied, 63 (31.2%) experienced postoperative delirium. Univariate analysis identified age (p < 0.001), gender (p = 0.014), restraint belt use (p < 0.001), electrolyte imbalance (p < 0.001), visual analog scale score (p < 0.001), hematoma thickness (p < 0.001), midline shift (p < 0.001), hematoma side (p = 0.013), hematoma location (p = 0.018), and urinal catheterization (p = 0.028) as significant factors. Multivariate regression analysis confirmed the significance of restraint belt use (B = 7.657, p < 0.001), electrolyte imbalance (B = -3.993, p = 0.001), visual analog scale score (B = 2.331, p = 0.016), and midline shift (B = 0.335, p = 0.007). Hematoma thickness and age had no significant impact. Conclusion- Increased midline shift and visual analog scale scores, alongside restraint belt use and electrolyte imbalance elevate delirium risk in chronic subdural hematoma surgery. Our prediction models may offer reference value in this context.© 2024. The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany, part of Springer Nature.

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出版当年[2023]版:
大类 | 3 区 医学
小类 | 3 区 临床神经病学 3 区 外科
最新[2023]版:
大类 | 3 区 医学
小类 | 3 区 临床神经病学 3 区 外科
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出版当年[2022]版:
Q2 SURGERY Q3 CLINICAL NEUROLOGY
最新[2023]版:
Q1 SURGERY Q2 CLINICAL NEUROLOGY

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第一作者机构: [1]Beijing Key Laboratory of Intraocular Tumor Diagnosis and Treatment, Beijing Ophthalmology & Visual Sciences Key Lab, Medical Artificial Intelligence Research and Verification Key Laboratory of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, Beijing Tongren Eye Center, Beijing Tongren Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China.
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通讯机构: [2]Department of Neurosurgery, Peking University Third Hospital, Peking University, Beijing, China. [3]Center for Precision Neurosurgery and Oncology of Peking University Health Science Center, Peking University, Beijing, China. [6]State Key Laboratory of Vascular Homeostasis and Remodeling, Peking University, Beijing, China.
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