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A Nomogram of Predicting Healthcare-Associated Infections in Burned Children

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机构: [1]Department of Infection Prevention and Control,Wuhan Third Hospital, Tongren Hospital of Wuhan University, Wuhan, China. [2]AIDS Prevention Institute, Wuhan Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Wuhan, China. [3]Department of Pediatrics, Wuhan Third Hospital, Tongren Hospital of Wuhan University, Wuhan, China.
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关键词: burned children healthcare-associated infection nomogram risk factors

摘要:
Healthcare-associated infections (HAIs) are a common clinical concern associated with adverse prognosis and mortality in burned children. This study aimed to construct a predictive nomogram of the risk of HAIs in burned children.Children admitted to the burn unit of Wuhan Third Hospital between 2020 and 2022 were included. The univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were adopted to ascertain predictors of HAIs. A nomogram was developed to predict the HAI risk of each patient, with receiver operating characteristic curves and calibration curves being generated to assess its predictive ability. Furthermore, decision and impact curves were used to assess the clinical utility.Of 1122 burned children, 61 (5.5%) patients experienced HAIs. The multivariate analysis indicated that total burn surface area, length of stay, surgery, central venous catheter use and urinary catheter use were the independent risk factors of HAIs. Using these variables, we developed a predictive nomogram of the occurrence of HAIs in burned children, and the internal validation results demonstrated good discrimination and calibration of the nomogram. The area under the curve values of the nomogram was 0.926 (95% CI, 0.896-0.957). The calibration curve showed high consistency between the actual and predicted HAIs. The decision and impact curve indicated that the nomogram was of good clinical utility and more credible net clinical benefits in predicting HAIs.The present study constructed a nomogram for predicting the risk of HAIs in burned children. This nomogram may strengthen the effective screening of patients at high risk of HAIs.Copyright © 2024 The Author(s). Published by Wolters Kluwer Health, Inc.

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中科院(CAS)分区:
出版当年[2023]版:
大类 | 4 区 医学
小类 | 3 区 儿科 4 区 免疫学 4 区 传染病学
最新[2023]版:
大类 | 4 区 医学
小类 | 3 区 儿科 4 区 免疫学 4 区 传染病学
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出版当年[2022]版:
Q1 PEDIATRICS Q3 IMMUNOLOGY Q3 INFECTIOUS DISEASES
最新[2023]版:
Q1 PEDIATRICS Q2 INFECTIOUS DISEASES Q3 IMMUNOLOGY

影响因子: 最新[2023版] 最新五年平均 出版当年[2022版] 出版当年五年平均 出版前一年[2021版] 出版后一年[2023版]

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第一作者机构: [1]Department of Infection Prevention and Control,Wuhan Third Hospital, Tongren Hospital of Wuhan University, Wuhan, China.
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