ObjectivesTo investigate how studies determine the sample size when developing radiomics prediction models for binary outcomes, and whether the sample size meets the estimates obtained by using established criteria.MethodsWe identified radiomics studies that were published from 01 January 2023 to 31 December 2023 in seven leading peer-reviewed radiological journals. We reviewed the sample size justification methods, and actual sample size used. We calculated and compared the actual sample size used to the estimates obtained by using three established criteria proposed by Riley et al. We investigated which characteristics factors were associated with the sufficient sample size that meets the estimates obtained by using established criteria proposed by Riley et al.ResultsWe included 116 studies. Eleven out of one hundred sixteen studies justified the sample size, in which 6/11 performed a priori sample size calculation. The median (first and third quartile, Q1, Q3) of the total sample size is 223 (130, 463), and those of sample size for training are 150 (90, 288). The median (Q1, Q3) difference between total sample size and minimum sample size according to established criteria are -100 (-216, 183), and those differences between total sample size and a more restrictive approach based on established criteria are -268 (-427, -157). The presence of external testing and the specialty of the topic were associated with sufficient sample size.ConclusionRadiomics studies are often designed without sample size justification, whose sample size may be too small to avoid overfitting. Sample size justification is encouraged when developing a radiomics model.Key PointsQuestionSample size justification is critical to help minimize overfitting in developing a radiomics model, but is overlooked and underpowered in radiomics research.FindingsFew of the radiomics models justified, calculated, or reported their sample size, and most of them did not meet the recent formal sample size criteria.Clinical relevanceRadiomics models are often designed without sample size justification. Consequently, many models are too small to avoid overfitting. It should be encouraged to justify, perform, and report the considerations on sample size when developing radiomics models.Key PointsQuestionSample size justification is critical to help minimize overfitting in developing a radiomics model, but is overlooked and underpowered in radiomics research.FindingsFew of the radiomics models justified, calculated, or reported their sample size, and most of them did not meet the recent formal sample size criteria.Clinical relevanceRadiomics models are often designed without sample size justification. Consequently, many models are too small to avoid overfitting. It should be encouraged to justify, perform, and report the considerations on sample size when developing radiomics models.Key PointsQuestionSample size justification is critical to help minimize overfitting in developing a radiomics model, but is overlooked and underpowered in radiomics research.FindingsFew of the radiomics models justified, calculated, or reported their sample size, and most of them did not meet the recent formal sample size criteria.Clinical relevanceRadiomics models are often designed without sample size justification. Consequently, many models are too small to avoid overfitting. It should be encouraged to justify, perform, and report the considerations on sample size when developing radiomics models.
基金:
National Natural Science Foundation of China (82302183, 82471935, and 82271934), the Research Found of Health Commission of Shanghai Municipality (20244Y0214), the Yangfan Project of Science and Technology Commission of Shanghai Municipality (22YF1442400),
the Research Found of Health Commission of Changing District, Shanghai
Municipality (2023QN01), the Laboratory Open Fund of Key Technology and
Materials in Minimally Invasive Spine Surgery (2024JZWC-ZDA03 and
2024JZWC-YBA07), and the Research Fund of Tongren Hospital, Shanghai Jiao
Tong University School of Medicine (TRKYRC-XX202204, TRYJ2021JC06,
TRGG202101, TRYXJH18, and TRYXJH28)
第一作者机构:[1]Shanghai Jiao Tong Univ, Sch Med, Tongren Hosp, Lab Key Technol & Mat Minimally Invas Spine Surg, Shanghai, Peoples R China[2]Shanghai Jiao Tong Univ, Ctr Spinal Minimally Invas Res, Shanghai, Peoples R China[3]Shanghai Jiao Tong Univ, Tongren Hosp, Dept Imaging, Sch Med, Shanghai, Peoples R China
共同第一作者:
通讯作者:
通讯机构:[1]Shanghai Jiao Tong Univ, Sch Med, Tongren Hosp, Lab Key Technol & Mat Minimally Invas Spine Surg, Shanghai, Peoples R China[2]Shanghai Jiao Tong Univ, Ctr Spinal Minimally Invas Res, Shanghai, Peoples R China[3]Shanghai Jiao Tong Univ, Tongren Hosp, Dept Imaging, Sch Med, Shanghai, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式(GB/T 7714):
Zhong Jingyu,Liu Xianwei,Lu Junjie,et al.Overlooked and underpowered: a meta-research addressing sample size in radiomics prediction models for binary outcomes[J].EUROPEAN RADIOLOGY.2025,35(3):1146-1156.doi:10.1007/s00330-024-11331-0.
APA:
Zhong, Jingyu,Liu, Xianwei,Lu, Junjie,Yang, Jiarui,Zhang, Guangcheng...&Yao, Weiwu.(2025).Overlooked and underpowered: a meta-research addressing sample size in radiomics prediction models for binary outcomes.EUROPEAN RADIOLOGY,35,(3)
MLA:
Zhong, Jingyu,et al."Overlooked and underpowered: a meta-research addressing sample size in radiomics prediction models for binary outcomes".EUROPEAN RADIOLOGY 35..3(2025):1146-1156