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Exploring Cancer Incidence Trends by Age and Sex Among 14.14 Million Individuals in China From 2007 to 2021: Population-Based Study

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机构： [1]Beijing Key Laboratory of Diabetes Research and Care, Department of Endocrinology and Metabolism, Beijing Diabetes Institute, Beijing Tongren Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China. [2]Beijing Municipal Health Big Data and Policy Research Center, Beijing, China. [3]The Center for Research on Genomics and Global Health, National Human Genome Research Institute, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD, United States.

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关键词： cancer incidence trend sex-based women

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Sex is a crucial factor in the development, progression, and treatment of cancer, making it vital to examine cancer incidence trends by sex for effective prevention strategies.This study aimed to assess the incidence of cancer in China between 2007 and 2021, with a focus on sex-based trends.A population-based cancer registry comprising 14.14 million individuals was maintained between 2007 and 2021 by the Beijing Municipal Health Big Data and Policy Research Center. The age-standardized rates (ASRs) of cancers were calculated using the Segi population. The average annual percentage of change (AAPC) was evaluated using the joinpoint regression model, while the Bayesian age-period-cohort model was used to predict cancer incidence in the next 10 years.From 2007 to 2021, the study included 651,342 incident patients with cancer, of whom 51.2% (n=333,577) were women. The incidence indicated by the ASR for all cancers combined was 200.8 per 100,000 for women and 184.4 per 100,000 for men. The increase in incidence indicated by AAPC for all malignancies combined significantly increased in women between 2007 and 2021 (AAPC=3.1%; P<.001), whereas it remained constant in men (AAPC=0.3%; P=.30). Although the overall incidence of all cancers indicated by AAPC increased in young men (AAPC=3.2%; P=.01), the greatest increase was observed among young women (AAPC=6.1%; P<.001). The incidence rate ratio for cancer in women increased among subsequent younger generations compared with patients born in the 1962-1966 cohort. The ASR in women will increase 1.6-fold over the next 10 years, with women having twice the incidence rate of men by 2031.The rising incidence of cancer among women in China has become a growing concern, emphasizing the need for increased efforts in cancer prevention and early screening, especially among young women.©Yingchao Yuan, Chang Liu, Moning Guo, Zhong Xin, Guanjie Chen, Yue Yang, Jianpeng Zheng, Bai Zang, Jinkui Yang. Originally published in JMIR Public Health and Surveillance (https://publichealth.jmir.org), 07.08.2024.

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出版当年[2023]版：

大类 | 2 区医学

小类 | 2 区公共卫生、环境卫生与职业卫生

最新[2025]版：

大类 | 3 区医学

小类 | 3 区公共卫生、环境卫生与职业卫生

第一作者：

第一作者机构： [1]Beijing Key Laboratory of Diabetes Research and Care, Department of Endocrinology and Metabolism, Beijing Diabetes Institute, Beijing Tongren Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China.

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通讯机构： [1]Beijing Key Laboratory of Diabetes Research and Care, Department of Endocrinology and Metabolism, Beijing Diabetes Institute, Beijing Tongren Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China. [*1]Beijing Key Laboratory of Diabetes Research and Care, Department of Endocrinology and Metabolism, Beijing Diabetes Institute Beijing Tongren Hospital Capital Medical University No.1 Dong Jiao Min Xiang Beijing, 100730 China

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