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Investigation of epidemiological characteristics and development of a nomogram to predict survival in primary ocular adnexal lymphoma.

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机构: [1]Department of Hematology, Beijing Tongren Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China [2]Trauma Center/Department of Emergency and Trauma Surgery, Tongji Hospital, Tongji Medical College of Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China [3]Department of Anesthesiology, Tongji Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China [4]Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China [5]Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China
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关键词: incidence nomogram primary ocular adnexal lymphoma prognosis SEER

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Studies on the epidemiology and prognosis of primary ocular adnexal lymphoma (POAL) are scarce for its low occurrence. The goal of our research was to assess the epidemiologic characteristics, prognostic variables, and survival of POAL patients.The Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database was used to collect data on patients identified with POAL from 1975 to 2011 and the incidence rate of POAL from 1975 to 2017. To discover independent predictive markers for overall survival (OS) and disease-specific survival (DSS), multivariable Cox regression analysis was utilized. The independent prognostic factors found by multivariate Cox regression analysis were used to generate a nomogram.A total of 2839 patients were diagnosed with POAL, with an average age of 64.1 years. The total incidence of POAL was 2.51/1000000 (according to the overall adjustment of the 2000 American standard) from 1975 to 2017, and the annual percentage change (APC) was 2.47 (95% confidence interval 1.64-3.32, P <0.05), showing a sharp upward trend. After multivariate Cox regression analysis, age, gender, year of diagnosis, marital status, primary site, laterality, pathological type, and treatment strategy were evaluated as independent prognostic factors of OS or DSS (P <0.05). A nomogram was constructed to forecast the DSS of 1, 3, 5, and 10 years. The concordance index (C-index) and the calibration plots demonstrated the robustness and accuracy of the nomogram.Although POAL is sporadic, the incidence has generally increased in the past 36 years. In recent years, survival rates have risen, and radiotherapy can render better OS and DSS. The nomogram specially made for POAL is robust and precise in predicting the DSS of 1, 3, 5, and 10 years. This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.

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出版当年[2021]版:
大类 | 3 区 医学
小类 | 2 区 眼科学
最新[2023]版:
大类 | 2 区 医学
小类 | 2 区 眼科学
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出版当年[2020]版:
Q1 OPHTHALMOLOGY
最新[2023]版:
Q1 OPHTHALMOLOGY

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第一作者机构: [1]Department of Hematology, Beijing Tongren Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China [*1]Department of Hematology, Beijing Tongren Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing 100730, China.
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通讯机构: [1]Department of Hematology, Beijing Tongren Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China [*1]Department of Hematology, Beijing Tongren Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing 100730, China.
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