Background/Aims: Cardiac surgery-associated severe acute kidney injury (SAKI) is associated with high mortality and poor quality of life. A prognostic score for SAKI may enable prevention of complications. Methods: This observational study of 2,552 patients undergoing cardiac surgery from January 2006 to December 2011 in our institution established associations between predictor variables and postoperative SAKI from a cohort of 1,692 patients and developed a clinical score that was assessed in a validation cohort of 860 patients. Results: Postoperative SAKI occurred in 262 patients (10.3%). We identified 7 independent and significant risk factors in the derivation model (adjusted OR 95%CI): age >= 81 years (vs. age < 40 years, 4.30, 1.52-12.21), age 61-80 years (vs. age <40years, 2.84, 1.24-6.52), age 41-60 years (vs. age < 40 years, 1.62, 0.68-3.87), hypertension (1.65, 1.13-2.39), previous cardiac surgery (3.62, 1.27-10.32), hyperuricemia (2.02, 1.40-2.92), prolonged operation time (1.32, 1.17-1.48), postoperative central venous pressure < 6mmH<sub>2</sub>O (3.53, 2.38-5.23), and low postoperative cardiac output (4.78, 2.97-7.69). The 7-variable risk prediction model had acceptable performance characteristics in the validation cohort (C statistic 0.80, 95% CI 0.74-0.85). The difference in the C statistic was 0.21 (95% CI 0.12-0.29, p < 0.001) compared with the Cleveland Clinic score. Conclusion: We developed and validated a practical risk prediction model for SAKI after cardiac surgery based on routinely available perioperative clinical and laboratory data. The prediction model can be easily applied at the bedside and provides a simple and interpretable estimation of risk.
第一作者机构:[1]Shanghai Jiao Tong Univ, Sch Med, Renji Hosp, Dept Nephrol, Pujian Rd 160, Shanghai 200127, Peoples R China
通讯作者:
通讯机构:[1]Shanghai Jiao Tong Univ, Sch Med, Renji Hosp, Dept Nephrol, Pujian Rd 160, Shanghai 200127, Peoples R China[3]Shanghai Jiao Tong Univ, Sch Med, Shanghai Tongren Hosp, Hongqiao Int Inst Med, Shanghai 200025, Peoples R China[4]Shanghai Jiao Tong Univ, Sch Med, Clin Res Inst, Shanghai 200025, Peoples R China[*1]Department of Nephrology, Renji Hospital, School of Medicine Shanghai Jiao Tong University Pujian Road No. 160, Shanghai 200127 (China)[*2]Hongqiao International Institute of Medicine, Shanghai Tongren Hospital and Clinical Research Institute, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine Shanghai 200025 (China)
推荐引用方式(GB/T 7714):
Che Miaolin,Wang Xudong,Liu Shang,et al.A Clinical Score to Predict Severe Acute Kidney Injury in Chinese Patients after Cardiac Surgery[J].NEPHRON.2019,142(4):291-300.doi:10.1159/000499345.
APA:
Che, Miaolin,Wang, Xudong,Liu, Shang,Xie, Bo,Xue, Song...&Wang, Bingshun.(2019).A Clinical Score to Predict Severe Acute Kidney Injury in Chinese Patients after Cardiac Surgery.NEPHRON,142,(4)
MLA:
Che, Miaolin,et al."A Clinical Score to Predict Severe Acute Kidney Injury in Chinese Patients after Cardiac Surgery".NEPHRON 142..4(2019):291-300