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Global Prevalence of Diabetic Retinopathy and Projection of Burden through 2045 Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

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机构: [1]Singapore Eye Res Inst, Singapore Natl Eye Ctr, Singapore, Singapore [2]Duke NUS Med Sch, Singapore, Singapore [3]Ufa Eye Res Inst, Ufa, Bashkortostan, Russia [4]Capital Med Univ, Beijing Tongren Hosp, Beijing Tongren Eye Ctr, Beijing Inst Ophthalmol,Beijing Key Lab Ophthalmo, Beijing, Peoples R China [5]Fudan Univ, Dept Ophthalmol, Eye & ENT Hosp, Shanghai, Peoples R China [6]Univ Hong Kong, Dept Ophthalmol, Li Ka Shing Fac Med, Hong Kong, Peoples R China [7]Heidelberg Univ, Med Fac Mannheim, Dept Ophthalmol, Mannheim, Germany [8]Natl Univ Singapore, Yong Loo Lin Sch Med, Singapore, Singapore [9]Hong Kong Sanat & Hosp, Dept Ophthalmol, Hong Kong, Peoples R China
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关键词: Diabetes mellitus Diabetic retinopathy Population Prevalence Systematic review

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Topic: To provide updated estimates on the global prevalence and number of people with diabetic retinopathy (DR) through 2045. Methods: We conducted a systematic review using PubMed, Medline, Web of Science, and Scopus for population-based studies published up to March 2020. Random effect meta-analysis with logit transformation was performed to estimate global and regional prevalence of DR, vision-threatening DR (VTDR), and clinically significant macular edema (CSME). Projections of DR, VTDR, and CSME burden were based on population data from the IDF Atlas 2019. Results: We included 59 population-based studies. Among individuals with diabetes, global prevalence was 22.27% (95% confidence interval [CI], 19.73%-25.03%) for DR, 6.17% (95% CI, 5.43%-6.98%) for VTDR, and 4.07% (95% CI, 3.42%-4.82%) for CSME. In 2020, the number of adults worldwide with DR, VTDR, and CSME was estimated to be 103.12 million, 28.54 million, and 18.83 million, respectively; by 2045, the numbers are projected to increase to 160.50 million, 44.82 million, and 28.61 million, respectively. Diabetic retinopathy prevalence was highest in Africa (35.90%) and North American and the Caribbean (33.30%) and was lowest in South and Central America (13.37%). In meta-regression models adjusting for habitation type, response rate, study year, and DR diagnostic method, Hispanics (odds ratio [OR], 2.92; 95% CI, 1.22-6.98) and Middle Easterners (OR, 2.44; 95% CI, 1.51-3.94) with diabetes were more likely to have DR compared with Asians. Discussion: The global DR burden is expected to remain high through 2045, disproportionately affecting countries in the Middle East and North Africa and the Western Pacific. These updated estimates may guide DR screening, treatment, and public health care strategies. (C) 2021 by the American Academy of Ophthalmology

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大类 | 1 区 医学
小类 | 1 区 眼科学
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大类 | 1 区 医学
小类 | 1 区 眼科学
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Q1 OPHTHALMOLOGY
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Q1 OPHTHALMOLOGY

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第一作者机构: [1]Singapore Eye Res Inst, Singapore Natl Eye Ctr, Singapore, Singapore
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通讯机构: [1]Singapore Eye Res Inst, Singapore Natl Eye Ctr, Singapore, Singapore [2]Duke NUS Med Sch, Singapore, Singapore [8]Natl Univ Singapore, Yong Loo Lin Sch Med, Singapore, Singapore [*1]Singapore Eye Res Inst, 20 Coll Rd,Discovery Tower Level 6, Singapore 169856, Singapore
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